The timetable for the recall process is defined in the State Constitution and the only real variable is the date when a recall petition is filed. Once that happens, the timetable plays out with no regard for legislative schedules or anything else.
Those who seek to recall Gov. Walker filed intent to do so on Nov. 15. Those seeking the recall of four Republican state senators also did so on that same date. Those filings set in motion a 60-day time period for gathering the necessary signatures. The deadline for that filing is Jan. 17. As noted above, Jan. 17 happens to be the same day as when the first of the three 2012 floor periods will convene.
After the signatures are submitted, the Government Accountability Board (GAB) has 30 days to certify their validity and that deadline can (and has) been extended for 30 additional days. This takes us to March 17.
It is possible some recall efforts will fail to file the necessary number of signatures. It is also possible that the GAB and the political parties who scrutinize such petitions will find enough invalid signatures to stop the recall process. However, presuming neither of these occur, most observers expect that sometime after Jan. 17 candidates are likely to emerge to challenge the governor and the affected state senators.
It is no secret that politicians are generally cautious in election years. This year, with the legislative floor periods coinciding with the recall elections process, is likely to be no exception. The State Senate, where the Republicans hold a paper thin 17-16 majority, is expected to be especially careful in what it takes up. Few truly contentious bills will be debated.
Nor is a special session after March 15 likely.
The Constitution provides that once the GAB completes the work of certifying signatures, the recall election must occur six weeks later. This takes us to early May. However, it is possible that more than one Democrat will file to run against the governor or one of the senators. Should that be the case, the election in early May becomes a primary election, and the general election will occur four weeks after that, or early June.
If that is not enough campaigning for you, don’t worry. April 15, 2012, marks the time when candidates for county, state and national offices filled in the November election may begin to circulate their nomination papers.
Huebscher is executive director of the Wisconsin Catholic Conference.